Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.4#342
Expected Predictive Rating-18.8#345
Pace77.7#20
Improvement+0.0#169

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#331
Improvement+1.0#118

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#326
Improvement-1.0#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 32   @ Mississippi L 57-93 1%     0 - 1 -21.0 -19.3 +4.6
  Nov 13, 2012 38   @ Cincinnati L 60-102 1%     0 - 2 -27.5 -11.7 -9.3
  Nov 15, 2012 125   @ Northwestern L 68-81 3%     0 - 3 -7.0 -0.7 -6.6
  Nov 24, 2012 92   @ LSU L 50-75 2%     0 - 4 -16.7 -20.1 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2012 39   @ Virginia L 39-67 1%     0 - 5 -13.6 -21.6 +5.9
  Dec 10, 2012 160   @ Virginia Tech L 49-70 5%     0 - 6 -17.3 -27.8 +11.8
  Dec 19, 2012 159   @ Bradley L 42-77 5%     0 - 7 -31.2 -30.1 -0.4
  Dec 22, 2012 282   Georgia Southern L 52-63 22%     0 - 8 -18.4 -24.4 +6.1
  Dec 23, 2012 238   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-69 15%     0 - 9 -9.4 -9.0 -0.4
  Dec 30, 2012 254   @ TCU L 64-67 11%     0 - 10 -5.1 -1.8 -3.5
  Jan 02, 2013 281   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64-79 15%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -19.1 -10.8 -7.6
  Jan 06, 2013 339   Alabama A&M W 79-68 60%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -7.0 -6.0 -1.7
  Jan 08, 2013 333   Alabama St. L 65-69 56%     1 - 12 1 - 2 -21.1 -13.4 -7.8
  Jan 12, 2013 330   @ Alcorn St. L 67-72 28%     1 - 13 1 - 3 -14.4 -13.0 -0.9
  Jan 14, 2013 190   @ Southern L 54-88 6%     1 - 14 1 - 4 -32.0 -11.3 -22.9
  Jan 19, 2013 325   Prairie View W 73-64 49%     2 - 14 2 - 4 -6.2 -12.4 +5.1
  Jan 21, 2013 170   Texas Southern L 48-75 13%     2 - 15 2 - 5 -30.5 -24.2 -8.3
  Jan 26, 2013 319   @ Jackson St. L 57-60 23%     2 - 16 2 - 6 -10.5 -15.9 +5.2
  Jan 28, 2013 347   @ Grambling St. W 65-50 89%     3 - 16 3 - 6 -13.6 -14.1 +1.9
  Feb 02, 2013 339   @ Alabama A&M L 64-65 35%     3 - 17 3 - 7 -12.6 -12.6 +0.0
  Feb 04, 2013 333   @ Alabama St. L 65-73 32%     3 - 18 3 - 8 -18.6 -9.1 -10.0
  Feb 09, 2013 330   Alcorn St. W 80-75 52%     4 - 18 4 - 8 -10.9 -7.6 -4.1
  Feb 11, 2013 190   Southern L 74-78 15%     4 - 19 4 - 9 -8.4 -3.6 -4.5
  Feb 16, 2013 325   @ Prairie View L 77-80 26%     4 - 20 4 - 10 -11.7 -10.6 -0.5
  Feb 18, 2013 170   @ Texas Southern L 57-73 5%     4 - 21 4 - 11 -13.0 -15.6 +2.6
  Feb 23, 2013 319   Jackson St. L 71-90 44%     4 - 22 4 - 12 -33.0 -9.8 -23.0
  Feb 25, 2013 347   Grambling St. W 90-68 96%     5 - 22 5 - 12 -13.1 -3.5 -10.8
  Feb 28, 2013 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 70-78 OT 32%     5 - 23 5 - 13 -18.6 -14.6 -2.9
Projected Record 5.0 - 23.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%